HomeSellers, HomeBuyers & Investors: 5 Year Forecast Shows Canadian House Prices are to Rise!

Wednesday, March 27, 2024   /   by Matthew Daniel Tamburello

HomeSellers, HomeBuyers & Investors: 5 Year Forecast Shows Canadian House Prices are to Rise!

Courtesy of:
Matthew Daniel Tamburello
Team Leader & Broker
Trinity Real Estate Consultants
647-697-6743
matthewdanieltamburello@gmail.com

A five-year forecast by Moody’s Analytics shows prices rising all over the country apart from in two cities. Moody’s forecast used RPS Real Property Solutions data and predicted that Canadian home prices will go up by 2.2% between the first quarter of 2019 and the first quarter of 2024.

National home sales climbed in April 2019 according to statistics given by the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA). This is promising considering that sales were at a seven-year low in April of 2018. Toronto experienced the biggest increase in house sales, rising by 11%. The Canadian housing market seems to be on the rebound.   However, increased property sales do not necessarily mean that properties will become more affordable.

House price appreciation to slow down

Monetary tightening is affecting house price appreciation. Andres Carbacho-Burgos, the leading housing economist at Moody’s, reports that house price appreciation will slow down in 2020. In 2021 it will turn negative for a brief period, and then it will recover over the next few years.

Top five cities with the highest price increases

According to Moody Analytic’s forecast, St. John’s prices will climb by 6.1% and Guelph’s prices will rise to 5.5%. These are the highest jumps and they are followed by Barrie at 5.2%, Edmonton at 4.2$ and Toronto at 3.3% to make up the top five cities whose prices will increase the most.

Moderate price appreciation for Montréal

Carbacho-Burgos reports that this year, Montréal alone will have an average house price appreciation of 2.6% when compared with some of the other big metro areas. However, a partial recovery will come in the next few years with Toronto doing a little better.

High demand will continue in Toronto but will be reigned in

Toronto will still experience high demand. However, mortgage stress tests and rising interest rates will negatively affect the affordability of homes for some buyers which will reign in purchase demand.

House prices to dip in Vancouver

Vancouver will see house prices dropping over the next year. Vancouver is currently experiencing a buyers’ market. Apartment and house prices are overvalued and it may be challenging to maintain prices through 2024. According to the Moody’s forecast, it will only see a 0.9% rise over the next five years.

Buyers in Vancouver are adjusting to a mix of reduced access to financing and housing affordability challenges. The provincial government of British Columbia has made changes to housing policies and mortgage stress tests.

Which cities will dip in prices?

The two Canadian cities that will experience a dip in prices over the next five years are Saskatoon and Regina. Serious house price corrections are in store due to overvalued house prices. These cities also have a history of mean-reversion, unlike the Ontario metro areas.

  real estate, tamburello, the tamburello team, matthew tamburello, best real estate agent, best real estate deals, buying a foreclosed home, team, trinity real estate consultants, sell or buy first, home buying programs, cost of selling a house calculator, how to sell a house fast, interest rates, renting versus buying a home, real estate investing, gta real estate, best time to buy a house, how long does it take to sell a house, best school districts, canadian real estate market, for sale by owner, top five cities

SearchHomesinGTA.com
Matthew Daniel Tamburello
Team Leader & Broker
Right at Home Realty, Brokerage

Data is provided courtesy of Information Technology Systems Ontario, Inc
Copyright 2024 Information Technology Systems Ontario, Inc.
The information provided herein must only be used by consumers that have a bona fide interest in the purchase, sale, or lease of real estate and may not be used for any commercial purpose or any other purpose. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Information is provided exclusively for consumers’ personal, non-commercial use and may not be used for any purpose other than to identify prospective properties consumers may be interested in purchasing. Data is deemed reliable, but is not guaranteed accurate by the MLS®. Copyright 2024 Last Updated April 24, 2024
This site powered by CINC: www.cincpro.com